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Tuesday, 19 February 2008
Read My Lips: 'No New Taxes' is a stupid, irresponsible thing to say
George H.W. Bush's "no new taxes" pledge was a watershed moment for me. It was an idiotic thing for a reasonably bright man who knew better to say, and we know why he said it, right? To charm the Reagan revolutionaries, who might otherwise have listened to all that "wimp factor" talk.
But it was more than that to me. It caused me to become permanently disenchanted with campaign promises in general. No one knows what kinds of decisions he will face in office. There is something very phony about pretending to know, and presuming to predict what you will do. You end up with such absurdities as the latest George Bush spouting against nation-building, then spending most of his time in office trying to do just that (although botching it badly enough, for most of that time, to convince us he was never that into it).
This idea developed further as I moved from news to editorial in the early '90s. News is about "What did he say; what did he do; what did they other guy do; did their actions match their words?" and other stuff that just makes me tired now. I began to think more about what candidates, and far more importantly, office-holders should do. I thought more and more about the nature of representative democracy, and came to appreciate the system more deeply. And the more I thought about it, the more I came to appreciate character over specific policy proposals. I think our system works best when we elect a candidate we trust to make good decisions come what may. I care less about the specifics of policy proposals (which in most cases will never become reality in that form), and more about the quality of the individual proposing them. Past actions count a lot. So do words, in the sense that they reveal the kind of person the candidate is. The fact that a candidate is the kind of person who would want to do a certain thing will matter more than the specifics. So would the intangible qualities revealed in the way the candidate communicates his or her ideas. For that reason, the fact that Obama speaks of approaching challenges as one nation, and is able to sell that approach to voters, contrasted against Sen. Clinton's world view of life as a constant struggle against Republicans, matter more to me than the specifics of, say, their respective health care plans. If their health care plans were polar opposites, it would mean something. But they're not, and I don't care to quibble over them. This approach can be extremely frustrating to such people as today's caller.
It does make a difference to me when a candidate lacks a serious proposal to address health care. I criticized John McCain on this point several months back. But as important as this issue is to me, it's not a make-or-break one in considering the presidency. Truth is, no candidate but Dennis Kucinich wants to do what I want to do on the issue -- and Rep. Kucinich cancels that out by putting me off on other issues. Among the Republicans, Mitt Romney probably came the closest to wanting to do anything good -- but that wasn't nearly enough, and it didn't cancel the reasons NOT to support Romney. (Biggest reason? Rather than run as a guy who'd done something smart on health care in Massachusetts, he tried to pander to every impulse to be found in his party, and tried to get ahead by pulling other candidates down. Character.)
This brings us to what John McCain said this week: "No new taxes." This was a reprehensible thing to say. I know McCain is a national-security guy and just isn't into the stuff that the anti-tax part of his party obsess over. That's one of many things I like about him. But that doesn't excuse him from throwing them a bone to this extent, even if he did it so badly that it wasn't convincing (as Nicholas Kristof says, "he is abysmal at pandering").
Now let's pause for a moment to make sure you understand what I'm saying. The tax haters don't understand why I say it's inexcusable to say, before you're even in office, "No new taxes." That's because they think the only thing to do with a tax -- ever, under any circumstances -- is to cut it, and they think anyone who doesn't agree with their extreme must be their extreme polar opposite, which to them means that person, in one of their favorite phrases, "never saw a tax he didn't like." They really say things like that. It doesn't bother them a bit that such accusations are insupportable, and that in fact evidence exists to the contrary. Their world view is just that simple, and just that wrong.
McCain's world view is not that simple, and therefore it is profoundly wrong for him to say what he said, even if he just said it to shut them up so we can talk about more important things (understandable, but still not excusable). Perhaps he believes that there never will be a need during a McCain presidency to raise a tax, so what's the harm?
Here's the harm: Let me put it in terms that he might understand, because they would touch more closely upon his own deeply held values. Think how stupid, how grossly irresponsible, it would be for the man who would be commander in chief to say, "I will never take military action" in office. See what I'm saying? You might like to think you'd never have to send another soldier into harm's way, and you might want voters to know you're the kind of guy who likes to think that. Perfectly understandable. But perfectly wrong. The would-be commander in chief of the world's one superpower just can't take force off the table like that.
Mind you, this is not a perfect comparison -- a president has greater leeway in taking military action than he does in making tax policy (properly speaking, the purview of Congress; all the president can do is make non-binding proposals or wield the blunt instrument of the veto -- he can't even veto line items). But my point is that the thing that's wrong here is not the policy question itself. Peace is a fine thing. Not raising taxes is a fine thing.
But you cannot know what future situations will call for, and it's wrong to try to tie your hands in advance. And it's particularly wrong to do it to win votes.
It's not the policy; it's the character. And saying "no new taxes" this way places a stain upon John McCain's. (It also makes him look desperate; if he'll say that to appease the extremists, would he actually consider such a disastrous choice as Mark Sanford for veep? It was the desperation and the irresponsibility in this statement on taxes that caused me actually to worry about something I had dismissed as merely ridiculous before.)
Does the stain disqualify him? Not in my eyes. His virtues far outweigh this sin. And consider that the pandering, hands-tying statements that Sens. Barack and Clinton routinely make regarding Iraq are far more egregious. I am somewhat reassured to believe that both of them know better, but it doesn't make me think more of their characters.
Nor does it cause me to dismiss them altogether -- particularly not Obama, whose character seems so much better suited to the office than Mrs. Clinton's.
All of us are stained; no one is qualified to throw the first stone. But I do pick up these stones as I find them, and place them on the balance. As I weigh them, I'm still very glad we endorsed John McCain and Barack Obama. The one perfect guy isn't actually running.
Posted by Brad Warthen at 08:10 PM in 2008 Presidential, Character, John McCain, Marketplace of ideas, Republicans, Taxes, The Nation
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Comments
"No new taxes" is actually a meaningless phrase, unless accompanied by its counterpart, "no new spending." Or better yet, "no new debt."
There's no shortage of ways to tax us.
Posted by: Gordon Hirsch | Feb 19, 2008 10:12:47 PM
Did you hear Obama's speech tonite? Some fluff for sure, but some straight forward talk as well--about
--people who do work should not be impoverished
--a good president will not just tell you what you want to hear, but what you need to hear as well
--our troops must be supported--with rotation, with medical care, and more
--I can't do it alone, you've got to be willing to help.
Again and again I heard him use "we" only when he was talking about a unified majority. When he used "I" he was talking about his own particular plans.
There's lots more. If you haven't heard it, you should. Do I agree with every last bit of it? No. Do I have some hope? If he's elected, Yes!
Posted by: Karen McLeod | Feb 19, 2008 10:35:24 PM
You addresses the issue well.
Unfortunately, I think you're going to have to prepare similar columns on other topics as we move toward the general election and McCain has to appease the Republican base.
McCain's plan for vouchers is specific -- trade farm and oil subsidies for vouchers to be used on private schools. I think that's a fair deal. If you can't cut taxes, then use the funds for a better purpose. Nobody will be harmed if more (sometimes better) options for educating the public are created.
Posted by: Doug Ross | Feb 19, 2008 10:56:55 PM
Direct quote from McCain:
"Let's take that money, and instead of using it to pay off campaign contributors with special tax breaks, let's spend it on the children who have been trapped in our worst schools," said McCain. "Let's take that money, and use it to set children free, to give them an educational opportunity that can provide them with a real future."
Posted by: Doug Ross | Feb 19, 2008 10:59:03 PM
I saw Obama tonight, too, Karen. He continues to impress, as does McCain. They both still have a long way to go in terms of policy definition and the reality of getting things done with Congress, but people are engaged in this campaign at a level that really does invoke memories of JFK and Nixon, who was a powerful candidate before that ill-fated first televised debate.
... At the same time, it's almost eery how Bill and Hillary have vanished from this blog. Sort of like they died in disgrace and, out of respect for the dead, we politely look away.
Posted by: Gordon Hirsch | Feb 19, 2008 11:23:29 PM
Hillary or Obama? The sensible, intelligent answer is NEITHER! How can you people listen to the utter socialist populist retoric from these two and even consider voting for them? More taxes, more spending, penalize the successful and continue government spending on socialism, entitlements and subsidies for those who do not contribute to our society! In the proposed $3 trillion budget, 1/3 is spent on government socialist entitlement give-a ways! Anothe 1/4 to 1/3 is spent on non constitutionally mandated programs and projects! Almost $1 trillion for welfare, medicare, medicaid, food stamps extended unemployment payments and the like! While an expenditure of less than $500 billion on our national defense is railed as exhorbitant and unjust! It is time to rid ourselves of the FDR inspired socialists and return our country and government to the Constitution's list of government's allowed duties and programs!!!
Posted by: zeke | Feb 19, 2008 11:36:11 PM
Brad, nothing is certain but death and taxes and your calling people who don't like taxes stupid.
"Their world view is just that simple, and just that wrong."
That's just as much an unsubstantiated accusation as "he never saw a tax he didn't like."
Goose, gander. Pot, kettle. Just because people disagree with you doesn't mean they're stupid. Just because people say black and white doesn't mean they can't see gray and every color, too.
Posted by: weldon VII | Feb 20, 2008 1:26:39 AM
Brad, Jim Wallis has made many similar statements to your own, including the obvious idea that it is not so much an issue whether government is big or small, but that it should function. And of course, that takes some revenue from somewhere. I want to get his new book--not that I always agree with him, but there is a new generation of evangelical thinking that is not in lockstep with Grover Norquist.
I have a 57 year-old friend, with long experience in veterans affairs, even as a Senate advisor, who was asked to run as a Republican for the state legislature in another state--that is until he would not promise never to raise taxes. The townspeople didn't hear what they wanted to hear, so they decided to ditch him and take a 21-year old who would say the magic words, "I will never raise your taxes." It is part of our self-centeredness, I think, that we would rather see government malfunction than to see justice done.
Posted by: Herb Brasher | Feb 20, 2008 6:05:16 AM
When, I wonder, did it become the GOP's mantra that "There is no God but Reagan and Arthur Laffer is his prophet"?
Posted by: Steve Gordy | Feb 20, 2008 6:52:26 AM
While an expenditure of less than $500 billion on our national defense is railed as exhorbitant and unjust!
-Zeke
I love they way military spending is described as "national defense". Who exactly are we defending ourselves from? The Mexicans? The Iranian? Seems to me that a half trillion dollars is far too much to spend on military crap that will almost certainly never be used. Heck, we still have no real use for the B-1 bomber or all those attack submarines.
As for all the so-called "socialist" programs that right-wingers love to rant about, they have done a magnificent job of helping people have a better life. Sounds like money well spent to me.
Posted by: bud | Feb 20, 2008 8:24:51 AM
This brings us to what John McCain said this week: "No new taxes." This was a reprehensible thing to say.
-Brad
Of all the utterly stupid, insensitive, boneheaded crap uttered by McCain lately and you pick up on this on rather bland, benign statement to get upset about. Not a peep about how he sold out on the torture issue. Nothing on his careless, hateful comment about more war. Complete indifference to his comment that we should stay in Iraq for 100 years. But a pledge not to raise taxes gets Brad in an uproar. Please, give me a break!
This senile, insensitive war-monger absolutely must be defeated at the polls. That much is clear. But the tax comment is only a minor indescretion compared to the monstorous foreign policy atrocities this man is willing to commit.
Posted by: bud | Feb 20, 2008 8:42:03 AM
Another quote from McCain's speech last night:
"I will fight every moment of every day in this campaign to make sure Americans are not deceived by an eloquent but empty call for change ... that promises no more than a holiday from history and a return to the false promises and failed policies of a tired philosophy that trusts in government more than the people," McCain said.
This doesn't sound like the guy The State endorsed. Sounds like a red state Republican if I ever heard one.
Posted by: Doug Ross | Feb 20, 2008 8:45:18 AM
Brad, You should take about a half a day off and try and catalogue all the local, state and federal taxes we are already paying. Don't forget all the licenses fees, cable and phone fees. Also, don't forget to count the mandatory health care taxes that we already pay like medicare/medicaid. Don't forget the additional consumer taxes like gas, tobacco, alchohol, hotels, rental fees, etc.
If you run out of time then take the rest of the day off and keep counting. This no new tax pledge is the most intelligent thing I have ever heard McCain say.
Posted by: Richard L. Wolfe | Feb 20, 2008 10:56:08 AM
Ok, to give Brad a little credit I must admit McCain's no-new-taxes pledge is somewhat of a big deal. Not as big as his war-mongering comments but important none-the-less. Coupled with his blood-thirsty zeal for more wars this comment can only mean a promise for greater budget deficits, largely financed by the Chinese. Faced with an ever increasing dependence on foreign oil from radical parts of the world Mr. Straight-talker continues to rattle the Islam cage by talking tough while refusing to use diplomacy in an ever more complicated world. This dangerous man must be stopped. The only hope is to support the Democratic nominee for president. Failure to do so will only condem us and our children to a very bleak future.
Posted by: bud | Feb 20, 2008 11:04:18 AM
No New Taxes is reality.
Our tax burden has the economy balanced at its tipping point.
Every federal tax increase brings a dramatic slowdown in economic investment, and it doesn't take much to send things into a full recession.
Bush and the GOP brought us out of the 2000 Clinton Recession with a tiny tax cut. Now the state and local governments have erased it with their own tax increases, and the economy has stagnated again.
Any tax increases at any level will be result in less tax revenue, overall, to the governments. So Obama, and Hillary can promise socialized medicine and mortgage bailouts all they want to, but they cannot deliver it without massive deficit spending.
Posted by: Lee Muller | Feb 20, 2008 11:11:15 AM
"I will fight every moment of every day in this campaign to make sure Americans are not deceived by an eloquent but empty call for change ... that promises no more than a holiday from history and a return to the false promises and failed policies of a tired philosophy that trusts in government more than the people," McCain said.
Thank you for bringing that quote on board, Doug. That's wonderful stuff. Sounds like McCain's speechwriter intends to give Obama a run for his money.
Posted by: weldon VII | Feb 20, 2008 11:22:41 AM
If McCain would deliver on his positions on taxes, education, and healthcare AND come out against any immigration plan that allows those who entered the country illegally to stay, I would vote for him over Obama. I can live with his position on the war because eventually the American public opinion will cause him to make concessions in that area.
Posted by: Doug Ross | Feb 20, 2008 11:41:59 AM
The problem Doug is that the American public opinion is reflected by the votes cast on election day. I care nothing about immigration or tax policy. The only taxes that ever get cut are the ones I don't pay much of anyway like capital gains or dividends. Those can be raised to kingdom come for all I care. McCain's healthcare plan is nonexistent and that is simply unacceptable in this era of corporate exploitation of the sick. But what I care most about is all this war-mongering hype. The man scares me.
Of course we had a similar choice in 1964 and the American people overwhelmingly chose the peace candidate over the war candidate. In the end we had war anyway.
Posted by: bud | Feb 20, 2008 11:50:48 AM
Thanks for reminding me of the "100 years" thing, bud. Just as I had meant to write this post for several days, I've been thinking about one on that. It would be a bookend to this post. The idea would be that it was probably the best thing I've heard a politician say in many a year. It is the precise opposite of the kind of pandering characterized by saying "no new taxes" or "out of Iraq now!" It has always been impossible to make progress there with the constant refrain of "can we get out NOW? Are we out YET?" McCain's statement was a way of taking that off the table.
When can we get out of Iraq? Sometime after we stop asking that question.
Still want to know when? Ask me after we get out of Korea and Germany. I haven't heard much about it lately, but as I recall we HAVE started phased withdrawal from Germany recently. I think, 64 years later, it's safe to start doing that now.
Posted by: Brad Warthen | Feb 20, 2008 12:13:19 PM
What's out military presence in Vietnam (the last big undeclared war)? ZERO.
Also, we have more troops in Iraq today than in Germany, Japan, and Korea COMBINED.
Germany 75,603
Japan 40,045
South Korea 29,086
How about Kuwait? Our other recent undeclared war. 10 soldiers. Ten.
I think most Americans could live with a U.S. force somewhere below that of Korea (a REAL potential enemy of the U.S. with REAL WMD's). The question is how soon we can get to that level.
Posted by: Doug Ross | Feb 20, 2008 12:59:17 PM
Brad, we waste billions of dollars "defending" enormously rich nations like Germany, Japan and South Korea. The American people have accepted that, as have the people of the nations we occupy (although in today's paper there is an article suggesting the Japanese are getting a bit frustrated with the misbehavior of our troops). But just because the people accept something doesn't make it right. It is still a gigantic waste of taxpayer money. I just don't accept the idea that we need another nation to "defend" with an endless, and very expensive, deployment.
But of course with Iraq it's even worse than for the other nations. The presence of American soldiers in Iraq would be viewed by millions of Muslims as a cancer within their midst. The Germans and Japanese tolerate us because we spend lots of money and bolster their economies. I don't think the folks of the middle-east would be so charitable, nor do I think the occupation would be so peaceful. The idea that we serve as the policeman of the world is really abhorant to me as it should be for every freedom-loving American.
Once again I say it's critical that we soundly defeat the fear-mongering messenger of war at the polls so we can again pursue the policies of peace and prosperity. With our attention forever focused on war we are ignoring critical problems such as $100/barrel oil. In the end those are the types of problems that will doom this nation, not a bunch of hapless radicals in the Middle-East who simply want us out of thier country. And who can blame them?
Posted by: bud | Feb 20, 2008 1:48:08 PM
It's now been confirmed. Hillary really is Mary Ann. Just check out this web site:
http://www.attytood.com/2008/02/worse_than_watergate_bush_scor_1.html
Posted by: bud | Feb 20, 2008 2:36:14 PM
I'm a democrat and McCain will give Obama a run for the money. Obama says he will tell us what we need to hear? He then signs on for the stimulus package that borrows another $200 million. Next, advocate $210 million more dollars for jobs creation through infrastructure and "green jobs" while promising the program adds no new budget dollars (says they are saved from the war we won't be fighting. Excuse me but until we are out of Iraq we are spending the money). Next stop is to state it's the government's responsibility to fix the mortgage mess while promising $10 million for first time buyers ("regular folks") that can't save for a down payment. But we will make them sign another form or two as the previous 30 didn't give borrowers enough information. Next stop national health insurance and to blame corporate America for not insuring everyone. Every proposal is more government. Obama isn't a Democrat. He's a socialist.
Posted by: TC | Feb 20, 2008 2:53:30 PM
Yeah! RTH is back! A welcome voice of reason in the ongoing battle against the tyranny of the wacko right.
Posted by: bud | Feb 20, 2008 3:34:24 PM
For a dissenting view on the usefulness of tax cuts, go to www.time.com/time/magazine/article/
0,9171,1692027,00.html.
Posted by: Steve Gordy | Feb 20, 2008 4:50:04 PM
