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Sunday, 06 July 2008
Neither Obama nor McCain meets Energy Party standard
By BRAD WARTHEN
EDITORIAL PAGE EDITOR
JOHN McCAIN and Barack Obama are lucky there’s such a thing as Republicans and Democrats in this country, because neither would be able to get the Energy Party nomination.
They’re also lucky that the Energy Party exists only in my head, because I believe its nominee could tap into a longing, among the very independent voters Messrs. McCain and Obama need to court for victory, for a pragmatic, nonideological, comprehensive national energy policy. This independent voter longs for it, anyway.
What is the greatest failure of George W. Bush as president? If you answered “Iraq,” you lose. His greatest failure was summed up well by Sen. Joe Biden, who said at the 2006 Galivants Ferry Stump Meeting, “History will judge George Bush harshly not for the mistakes he has made... but because of the opportunities that he has squandered.”
The biggest wasted opportunity was when he failed, on Sept. 12, 2001, to ask Americans to sacrifice, to work together to shake off “the grip of foreign oil oligarchs,” and “plan the demise of Islamic fundamentalism.”
Gasoline was between about $1.40 and $1.50 a gallon then. If we had applied a federal tax increase then of $1 or $2 — as voices as varied as Tom Friedman, Charles Krauthammer, Jim Hoagland and Robert Samuelson have urged for years — we’d still have been paying less per gallon than we are now, and the money would have stayed in this country, in our hands, rather than in those of Mahmoud Ahmajinedad, or Hugo Chavez, or our “friends” the Saudis (you know, the ones who underwrite the Wahhabist madrassas).
And who, on the day after the terrorist attacks, would have refused? Most Americans would have been glad to be asked to do something to fight back.
We could have used that money for a lot of things, from funding the War on Terror (rather than passing the debt to our grandchildren) to accelerating the development of hydrogen, solar, wind, clean coal, methanol-from-coal, electric cars, mass transit — on something useful. We would have started conserving a lot more a lot faster, reducing demand enough to deliver a shock to world oil prices. Demand would have resumed its rise because of such irresistible forces as Chinese growth, but we would have had a salutary effect.
But we didn’t. We didn’t do anything to defund the terrorists or the petrodictators, or to reduce upward pressure on the national debt, or to respond to rising world energy demands, or to save the planet. We didn’t do it because we can’t do it individually and have an appreciable effect — it would take a national effort, and that takes leadership. And no one in a position of political leadership — not the president, not his fellow Republicans, and not their Democratic opposition — has stood up and said, Let’s get our act together, and here’s how....
Getting our act together would require leaders who are no longer interested in playing the Party Game. In Messrs. McCain and Obama, we had an opportunity. No major Republican is less into party than John McCain, which is why so many Republicans wanted to deny him the nomination. And in Barack Obama, Democrats have finally settled on the far-less-partisan alternative.
But in the energy realm, what have we gotten? Sen. Obama generally sticks to the liberal/Democratic playbook: No drilling offshore or in ANWR. Play down nuclear, play up solar and wind.
Sen. McCain, at least, is not doctrinaire Republican on energy. For that, you have to look to someone like Jim DeMint, whose op-ed piece on our pages a week ago extolled drilling, but excoriated “cap and trade.”
Sen. McCain will at least take some items from the left (cap and trade, CAFE standards) and some from the right (let states decide whether to drill offshore), but he’s mushy about it. And any credit he gets for ideological flexibility is overshadowed by his being the author of the biggest pander on energy this year — the proposal for a “gas tax holiday.”
An Energy Party nominee wouldn’t propose to lower the price of gasoline at the pump, so if that’s what you want — and a lot of you do want that — you can just stop reading now. Making it temporarily easier to buy more foreign oil is in no way in the national interest, and a leader would have the guts to explain that.
The Energy nominee would increase domestic production in the short term and lead a no-holds-barred national effort to take us beyond major dependence on anybody’s oil. He (or she) would put America at the forefront of both energy innovation and environmental stewardship, and would not let any sort of ideology stand in the way. (We must distinguish, for instance, between an environmental goal that matters, such as global climate change, and the inconvenience of a few caribou.) The Energy nominee would, given the chance:
- Drill off our coast, something we’ve seen can be done with minimal environmental risk.
- Drill in the ANWR (which, as detractors note, would not solve the problem, but it would help, and would demonstrate that we’re serious).
- Prohibitively tax the ownership of SUVs, and any other unconscionable, antisocial behavior.
- Lower speed limits, and enforce them (use the fines to pay for more traffic cops).
- Take money away from highway construction, and devote it to mass transit.
- Build nuclear plants with the urgency of the Manhattan Project.
- Develop electric cars at Apollo speed.
We need leadership that respects no one’s sacred ideological cows, left or right — leadership that will take risks to do what works, both for the nation and ultimately for the planet.
Is that really so much to ask?
Posted by Brad Warthen at 12:01 AM in 2008 Presidential, Barack Obama, Columns, Energy, Energy Party, John McCain, Leadership, Marketplace of ideas, Parties, The Nation, War and Peace
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Comments
Brad, while I can certainly agree with most of the Energy Party's platform, the "party's" error comes in viewing ANWR or offshore drilling as somehow a partisan issue, as if the environment and the interests of the planet are a left-wing concern.
Moreover, you say that drilling in ANWR "would help...and demonstrate that we're serious."
Well, I'll disagree with some of my environmentalist brethren in saying the problem with drilling in ANWR and offshore is not that it wouldn't help, but that it WOULD(although rather incrementally). Which also means that it would show precisely that we are NOT serious about the urgency to move away from dependency on oil. It would inevitably delay and defer the moves we need to take.
Then there are the environmental costs; sure, if you compare it to the overall global warming issue ANWR may seem "relatively" small. But you know darn well that more is at stake there then the convenience "of a few caribou," and anyway, that's the kind of thinking that got us into the global warning scenario in the first place.
$4 a gallon gas hurts me as much as most anybody, but I think it's one of the best things that could have happened to this country.
Lastly, on sacrifice: Jimmy Carter asked for sacrifice 31 years ago (!) and is STILL being roasted for it in right-wing circles. (Instead of being celebrated as a prophet, which he should be.) It's sad that my granddad's party, which once stood for limited government and individual responsibility, has exalted self-centeredness and consumerism to the point that "sacrifice" has become a dirty word in their vocabulary, offensive to the "American way of life."
Posted by: Phillip | Jul 6, 2008 7:02:14 AM
George Bush didn't squander an opportunity to hike gas prices after 9/11. He chose not to. What else would you expect an oil man from Texas and his puppeteer Vice President with deep oil company ties to do?? Bush and Cheney will be laughing all the way to the bank over the next few years when the payback is made.
One other point - your call for:
"Lower speed limits, and enforce them (use the fines to pay for more traffic cops)."
doesn't work in practice. Let's assume a minimum of $100K for a state trooper with salary, benefits, equipment, etc. How many of them do you think you would need to make any impact on the number of people who would exceed the 55 m.p.h. speed limit? And let's assume you could hire enough troopers to scare drivers to stay under that limit. Then who is going to pay for the troopers when they aren't writing the tickets to pay for their own salaries? Hmmm... As William F. Buckley said "Idealism is fine, but as it approaches reality, the costs become prohibitive."
Posted by: Doug Ross | Jul 6, 2008 7:58:07 AM
It's amazing that an idea so misbegotten and destructive as a 100 percent gasoline tax could have fixed itself so firmly in your consciousness, Mr. Warthen.
But for you to advise that the government "prohibitively tax the ownership of SUVs, and any other unconscionable, antisocial behavior" and "lower speed limits, and enforce them" to "use the fines to pay for more traffic cops" makes me worry that you and Ron Morris have caught some virus that causes men to think like little old ladies.
First Morris imitates Bob Jones and writes that Clemson and Carolina should forbid their players from appearing on Playboy's All-America team, and now you write this testosterone-free account of how America should become a government-run monastery for the common good.
Understand this, Mr. Warthen: The more the government takes over, the less "life, liberty and tne pursuit of happiness" there is for the best of us.
Your totalitarian socialism not only doesn't work, it's completely un-American.
Posted by: penultimo mcfarland | Jul 6, 2008 9:44:11 AM
Mcfarland has nailed it. Next issue please.
Posted by: Richard L. Wolfe | Jul 6, 2008 11:13:52 AM
Brad, let me take this one, OK? Penultimo and Richard, there's nothing totalitarian about taxing gasoline or SUV's through the roof. You're still 100% free to buy as much gas or as many SUV's as you want, you just have to pay for it. If you don't like the system of taxation that targets gasoline or SUV's, you vote the Energy Party out of power.
Posted by: Phillip | Jul 6, 2008 12:31:47 PM
Brad, I don't agree with you about drilling off shore or in Anwar for several reasons. First, these will not even begin to produce oil for several years. Secondly if we use the money that it will take to fund these drillings, and pour it into nuclear, wind, and solar technology, we'll have a major solution before that. Thirdly, petroleum use is one of the major causes of global warming, and it won't profit us one bit to have oil if we also have an uninhabitable planet. (And you can bet that China and India will be more than happy to buy that oil).
I'm also concerned about SUV's. The darn things won't just disappear, and probably 2% of them are actually needed by their owners. The problem is that when the rest of them are turned in, they are going to be sold to the poorer in our population (because there will be little demand for them). Those who can least afford these gas guzzlers will then be stuck with them. Maybe a high tax on those things will discourage people. I hope so.
Finally, when it comes to legislating morality, it gets very iffy. There are those who are convinced it's their God given right to drive 80(or more)mph in massive gas guzzling behemoths, and nothing any one can say is going to make them give a hardly. Unless our future president can convince people that they need to actually help, it's going to be very difficult to accomplish anything in this area.
Posted by: Karen McLeod | Jul 6, 2008 12:37:14 PM
If the tax had been implemented, Bush would have spent it on war. He was determined at the outset to produce a war, and 9/11 gave him that opportunity. So, any revenues that the country would have raised by hiking the gas tax would have been applied to the war effort, to support the president's (blatantly incorrect) assurances that "the war would end soon" and "gas prices would go back down".
Posted by: dnd | Jul 6, 2008 2:53:16 PM
Drilling for any more oil domestically only makes sense once we have enacted serious conservation efforts to reduce our consumption. Otherwise, we will only squander those reserves in a hurry.
Drilling without conserving? Bad idea.
Posted by: zzazzeefrazzee | Jul 6, 2008 3:55:49 PM
Tack another flip-flop onto McCain's history of flip-flops. He now supports offshore drilling for oil and ANWR. He now supports offshore drilling and ANWR.
The price of gas has risen so much that it now costs as much money to gas up our 2004 Saturn ION as it took to gas up our "work-release" van, a 1999 GMC 15 passenger van, in 2000.
Opening up the coast for offshore drilling will not help. I saw an article in the New York Times that the ships used for offshore drilling are booked solid five years in advance! Likewise, the cost of building ships for offshore drilling has skyrocketed.
NY Times Article: Dearth of Ships Delays Drilling of Offshore Oil
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/19/business/19drillship.html?_r=1&oref=slogin&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&pagewanted=all
Posted by: Ralph Hightower | Jul 6, 2008 4:02:54 PM
One other point that is rarely ever brought up in this debate. If we drill for oil in ANWR versus the Gulf, how does the resulting crude compare? The ANS crude from ANWR is a "heavy" and "sour" variety of crude. "Heavy refers to the fact that it is very dense and requires a lot of work to refine, which in turn will yield less gasoline than "light" crude. "Sour" means that it contains more sulfur, and is therefore more difficult to refine to meet pollution standards.
"West Texas Intermediate" or "WTI crude is, by comparison, a light sweet crude, that is very easy to refine, which yields a lot of gasoline. As I understand it, one of the current problems facing the industry is simply the lack of refineries who will process the heavy sour stuff.
Any discussion about drilling also needs to take into account the time involved. Last month, Florida’s Republican House Speaker Marco Rubio called McCain 'disingenuous' for linking drilling to gas prices.
Of course, companies backing this option already have leases to drill in the Gulf of Mexico. they just don't want to spare the expense of drilling so deeply.
Finally, I think that the characterization that those who support alternatives are only supporting corn-based ethanol is false. We now have the ability to use switchgrass and other cellulosic, rather than food sources. Also the potential for algae fuel remains on the table:
Finally, an article written by Gal Luft in today's WaPo "Iran and Brazil Can Do It. So Can We." should be of interest to readers
Not only must we reduce our dependence on petroleum in the long term, we as consumers must demand more flexible options. Conservating our current sources, and diversifying our current options seem the best way to meet the challenges we currently face.
Posted by: zzazzeefrazzee | Jul 6, 2008 4:44:28 PM
Bonus points for Zah-Z-Frah-Z -- Originality of Name.
The rest of this blogging is just too deep and boring.
Posted by: InAsylumW/Blogging Priv's | Jul 6, 2008 5:14:20 PM
Ethanol is uneconomical and had its own environmental costs. It wastes the diesel fuel to plant and harvest crops which never should have been planted, and only were because of federal crop subsidies.
The power to tax is the power to destroy. Statists like Brad Warthen like to use punitive taxes to destroy free markets, because there is no demand in free markets for the silly ideology of Brad Warthen.
My driving an SUV is not only none of his business, it may actually be more economical and environmentally responsible than the old car he drives, and the tiny econoboxes driven by other socialist greenies.
I can haul more people and gear on vacation in a full-size Suburban at 20 MPG than the hippies can in two fully loaded subcompact cars, which will only get about 27 MPG. One Suburban at 20 MPG = 2 subcompacts getting 40 MPG, and very few of the do.
Posted by: Lee Muller | Jul 6, 2008 5:37:36 PM
But do you have good gonga, Lee Muller?
Posted by: InAsylumW/Blogging Priv's | Jul 6, 2008 5:45:49 PM
"My driving an SUV is not only none of his business, it may actually be more economical and environmentally responsible than the old car he drives, and the tiny econoboxes driven by other socialist greenies."
OK, prove your point, Lee
1) How is your driving an SUV more economical? Please show us your figures.
2) Are you saying that only socialists drive "econoboxes" (which I suppose you are using to refer to economy vehicles)? If that's the case, given the latest consumer and manufacturing trends, then "socialism" must be taking the nation by storm. NOT!
As usual, your silly rhetoric gets in the way of making any kind of point, much less be persuasive.
Posted by: zzazzeefrazzee | Jul 6, 2008 6:53:23 PM
Sorry, Phillip, but Mr. Warthen used the word "prohibitively" to describe his tax on the "ownership" of SUVs. That means you wouldn't be able to afford to put your SUV on the road, so his scheme is totalitarian.
It's also stupid. People and auto dealers are running away from SUVs like they stinging insects. Taxing what people don't want is useless.
Posted by: penultimo mcfarland | Jul 6, 2008 7:53:21 PM
Mr. Warthen, until I read this (I won't tell you what room in the house the Money&Opinion section was read in) I thought that only 536 people actually had the chutzpah to believe that things like cap and trade and CAFE were good ideas. You are now the 2nd person whose professional title isn't Congressman or Senator to believe this methane, the other being the aforementioned Mr. Friedman, who unlike you lives in the same metropolitan area with the other goobers. When McBama takes office, what that person thinks about energy is relevant only with regards to letting us know what bills they would sign or veto. It's the fact that congress has done absolutely nothing about energy for the past 30 years that has gotten us into this mess and no President can force congress to act and were an executive order able to do so, even the most left-wing American would have to concede that #43 would issue such an order.
Fortunately, since like most of the State's readers you live in the real world, you understand most of what needs to be done. Of course, the answers lie not with whom the Energy Party would like to see run for President; rather they would come from the Energy Party's congressional and senatorial candidates and state legislators and governors and city and county council members.
Is it not possible (even likely) that the reason that Columbia is not yet the Hydrogen Mecca of the world due to poor governmental laws at the local, state and national levels? Would the Energy Party candidate call for eliminating red tape before calling for unneeded taxes and subsidies? Would the Energy Party candidate understand that subsidising corn for ethanol has cost all Americans with higher food prices, that sugar cane producers get more in subsidies for refined sugar and as thus do not want to generate more ethanol, or that hemp would be the most efficient form of producing ethanol, if only it weren't ILLEGAL? Besides, Brazil would love to ship some of its ethanol here, except not only does it not qualify for any subsidies; it gets hit with a tariff. What would happen if farmers had to choose (hopefully sucessfully) what crops to grow and consumers had the benefit of competition? Then we get to CAFE, which does nothing to make cars more fuel-efficent; rather it costs automakers money as they have to build cars no one wants to buy at any price. Besides, if you have children, isn't their safety just as important as fuel economy? In an accident, would you rather be in a Toyota Echo or a GMC Suburban? Even at $4 or $5/gallon, some parents may side with the SUV on that one. Calling cap and trade an idea is akin to calling intelligent design a scientific theory. Let's see, under cap and trade, companies would be allowed to pollute all they want, so long as they bought enough "pollution credits" from someone else? Either a company pollutes beyond an acceptable standard or they do not. Period. Even if this idea had merit, the commodity exchange would make payday lending look ethical and honest by comparison.
Going back to a national 55 miles per hour speed limit is something that needs to be left back in 1974. "Dream Weaver" good, making millions of Americans criminals, bad. John Warner is one of just 100 examples as to why the 17th Amendment should be repealed and we go back to having our U.S. Senators appointed by state legislatures.
Finally the terrorism angle: Oil is a commodity. Several Muslim nations have it for sale and we want to buy it. Is this any different from an African-American Catholic from New York who likes mustard-based barbeque getting supplied by Maurice? The problem in the middle east is a very simple one: Religion. Get rid of that cancer and you will cure the world of its greatest disease.
Posted by: Robert | Jul 6, 2008 8:29:51 PM
Zdum,
I just gave you an example of how an SUV is often more economical. Here it is in detail , for the hippies who didn't take simple arithmetic in public school:
Smart Family of 5 travels to the beach in their GMC Suburban, getting 20 to 22 miles per gallon.
Dumb Greens family of five drives their two subcompacts, with Mom and one child in one car, Dad and two children in the other, both cars packed to the ceiling. Fully loaded, these 2 cars MPG falls from their normal 35 to 27. Their net MPG = 27 divided by 2 cars = 13.5 MPG.
Let's say it is 270 miles to the beach and back.
The SUV uses 270/20 mpg = 13.5 gallons of fuel.
The 2 subcompacts use 270/27 mpg/ 2 cars = 20 gallons of fuel.
The SUV saved 6.5 gallons of fuel. This is not just an academic example. I got these numbers from 2 GMC Suburbans that went to the beach last month, and from another family that went with us, and drove a Toyota Corolla and a Honda Civic, using more fuel.
Not to mention all the fuel it will take to melt down the Corolla and Civic and replace them, while the SUVs are still on the road.
Posted by: Lee Muller | Jul 6, 2008 8:41:24 PM
"Dumb Greens family of five drives their two subcompacts, with Mom and one child in one car, Dad and two children in the other, both cars packed to the ceiling."
Needless to say Lee, such a comparison was never made in your first post. Suffice it to say that your comparison of two subcompacts cars to one SUV on a trip to the beach is well, Two apples to one orange, in a set of unique- if not extraordinary circumstances.
Obviously, your scenario is not reflective of average daily use, but trips to the beach. Would you like to recalculate those figures again using mileage of ONE of the new domestically made subcompacts on a normal daily commute?
When you do that, and the results come up the same, then you can claim that the SUV is in fact "more efficient".
Posted by: zzazzeefrazzee | Jul 6, 2008 9:54:23 PM
"The problem in the middle east is a very simple one: Religion. Get rid of that cancer and you will cure the world of its greatest disease."
There's an awful lot of Jews, Christians, Muslims (not to mention the Druze, Yezidis, Samaritans, Mandaeans, Zoroastrians, and Bahais) that you'll need to find a "cure" for.
Aside from the practicalities, just how will such an approach ever make us energy independent?
Posted by: zzazzeefrazzee | Jul 6, 2008 10:00:16 PM
Chinese Tallow Oil (CTO) will be the next King of the South. It was brought to the United States in the 1700s by Ben Franklin to make candles, lamp oil and soap. It will be the new feedstock for the production of biodiesel. Soybeans yield about 50 gallons of oil and 1200 lbs of animal feed a year. Soybeans have to be planted every year, and need pesticides and herbicides. The Chinese Tallow Tree (CTT) needs to be planted once, needs no pesticides, herbicides or fertilizer as it produces its own. In each acre planted, the CTT will yield about 1000 gallons of oil and 1400 lbs of feed per year for the farmer, his children, his grandchildren and etc....
Posted by: david whetsell | Jul 6, 2008 10:47:55 PM
If you really sit down and think about the energy situation it's really quite simple. Simply continue with the ban on most off-shore/ANWR drilling. Eliminate subsidies for oil, including all the military-related subsidies. Provide subsidies for fuel efficient cars and renewables. And VOILA! Consumers shift to smaller cars, electricity companies invest heavily in renewables and away from coal. Public transportation thrives. Our environment remains clean, and everyone is happy as a pig in slop. Oil is really a pretty bad thing for many reasons and we need to get away from it. Now is as good a time as any.
Posted by: bud | Jul 7, 2008 8:12:37 AM
Regarding Lee's SUV math, he makes an excellent argument for public transportation. More people per vehicle equals less people on the road, less pollution, and more bunnies frolicking in the dew. But a socialist, totalitarian, Marxist, communist, nazi idea such as that could never, ever work.
Posted by: Jay | Jul 7, 2008 9:24:03 AM
Last month, the World Bank estimated that the food crisis has pushed 100
million people worldwide into abject poverty. The International Monetary
Fund said that nearly half of the problem results from the diversion of food
crops for use in biofuels.
The above is from an article in The State today.
How dumb can you be to turn food into fuel?
Posted by: slugger | Jul 7, 2008 9:42:21 AM
Slugger, we don't disagree on this. Ethanol from corn is not a good idea for the reason you cite plus others. But you need to understand something. If we get away from the ethanol subsidies fuel prices will go up even faster. The pain at the pump will get just a bit worse. So if we decide to feed the poor it will come at the price of higher fuel bills. I would be ok with that, would you?
Posted by: bud | Jul 7, 2008 9:53:38 AM
Zdumb,
If public transportation was economical, it wouldn't need to be propped up with government subsidizing the ticket prices by taxing those who don't get to ride.
A friend just bought 2 Chevy HD 2500 Diesel pickups and a new Suburban for his construction business. He has to haul crews, luggage, and trailers with backhoes and Bobcats to out-of-town construction sites.
Which subcompact car would you recommend that he use to replace these SUVs which Herr Warthen wants to outlaw?
Posted by: Lee Muller | Jul 7, 2008 10:19:05 AM
